In January, Bitcoin’s exchange outflows have been challenging bearish predictions for its price.
On-chain analytics firm Glassnode’s latest data reveals that despite a 20% dip in the BTC/USD price, Bitcoin continues to flow out of exchanges.
This indicates that investor appetite for Bitcoin remains strong, unaffected by the current price pressures.
One notable observation is that the outflows from the United States exchange Coinbase have consistently exceeded 10,000 BTC per day since the launch of the first U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Although corresponding inflows have had an impact on exchange balances, there is a noticeable trend emerging in the second half of the month.
Outflows and inflows are beginning to balance out, suggesting a potential reduction in the extreme volatility seen immediately after the ETFs were launched on January 11.
Exchange balances had been steadily increasing throughout January but reversed direction on January 23.
Since then, the trading platforms monitored by Glassnode have seen a reduction of 7,400 BTC (equivalent to $321 million) in their balances.
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In addition to exchange outflows, ETF flows are also favoring Bitcoin bulls. Previously, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) was sending around $700 million worth of BTC to Coinbase daily.
However, recent daily outflows from GBTC have decreased to less than $200 million. In terms of BTC, there were 24,000 BTC outflows on January 25, and just over 6,000 BTC outflows on January 29.
Analyzing GBTC flows with data from statistics resource CoinGlass, financial commentator Tedtalksmacro predicted a shift in the trend from net outflows to net inflows for spot ETFs.
He argued that as this shift occurs, it would be challenging to present a bearish narrative unless there is an unforeseen event.
Tedtalksmacro believes that the bearish sentiment surrounding GBTC outflows in recent weeks is exaggerated, pointing out that there is currently $26 billion worth of on-chain holdings in BTC ETFs, and this number is expected to continue rising as investors become more comfortable with this asset class worldwide.
