Crypto Intelligence - Page 23

Bitcoin Surges Past $119,000 Amid Rebound Momentum

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Bitcoin briefly surged past $119,000 on Sunday, continuing a strong rebound after touching two-week lows near $114,500.

The price action marked a notable shift in momentum, with bulls reclaiming key levels despite recent heavy selling pressure.

Volatility Returns Near Weekly Close

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView revealed BTC/USD regaining strength as it attempted a daily close above the 10-day simple moving average.

This movement came as investors digested easing tensions between the U.S. and China, following an agreement to delay the implementation of reciprocal tariffs.

The renewed optimism supported a push above $118,000, prompting traders to focus on critical resistance levels heading into the new week.

Crypto investor Ted Pillows emphasized the significance of the $119,500 threshold.

“$BTC needs to break above $119.5K for a big move. If that doesn’t happen, this consolidation will continue,” he posted on X.

“I think BTC could break above this level next month which will start the next leg up.”

Reclaiming Lost Ground

Analyst Rekt Capital pointed to Bitcoin’s recovery into its former trading range.

“Bitcoin has Daily Closed above the blue Range Low, kickstarting a break back into the very briefly lost Range,” he shared alongside a chart analysis.

“Any dips into the Range Low (confluent with the new Higher Low) would be a retest attempt to confirm the reclaim.”

Despite the upward move, caution still lingered in the market.

Trader CrypNuevo highlighted the potential for a further drop to fill the wick left on the daily chart.

“If we zoom out, we can see that the main liquidation level is at $113.8k,” he explained.

“Consequently, I consider the downside liquidation cluster to be the natural target in the mid-term ($114.5k–$113.6k).”

Short Squeeze Risk Increases

According to CoinGlass, short sellers may face increased liquidation risk if BTC climbs higher.

The current “max pain” level for shorts is around $119,650.

Should Bitcoin retest its all-time high near $123,000, total short liquidations could exceed $1.1 billion.

Analysts now anticipate greater volatility in the coming days as the market approaches key price inflection points.

XRP Investors Warned as Ripple Co-Founder Moves 50 Million Tokens to Exchanges

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The XRP community is facing fresh warnings after Ripple co-founder Chris Larsen transferred 50 million XRP tokens to exchanges, sparking fears among investors of being used as “exit liquidity.”

The transaction triggered a wave of concern from analysts and market watchers who believe the move may be part of a larger sell-off strategy.

J.A. Maartunn, a contributor to the on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant, weighed in on the situation via social media platform X.

“Don’t get dumped on,” Maartunn cautioned.

“Don’t be the exit liquidity. Protect yourself.”

Massive Holdings Raise Red Flags

Larsen’s transfer came just after XRP briefly surged to highs near $3.60 on July 17, approaching its all-time record.

Despite the rally, the excitement was quickly tempered by outflows from a wallet linked to Larsen, prompting mixed reactions.

Some interpreted the move as normal profit-taking, while others accused him of exploiting the price peak to offload tokens.

Maartunn highlighted that the 50 million XRP moved represents only a small portion of Larsen’s reported holdings.

According to him, Larsen still holds around 2.58 billion XRP, worth approximately $8.83 billion at current prices.

“If $200M was just the warm-up… what’s next?” he asked.

Market Pullback After Rally

The recent sell-off by Larsen coincided with a broader correction in XRP’s price.

After surging as part of a wider altcoin rally—following Bitcoin’s consolidation phase—XRP has pulled back around 13%.

It is currently trading at $3.18, according to Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView data.

The pullback, coupled with Larsen’s wallet activity, has added to investor caution.

Other market analysts, including prominent trader ManLy, echoed the concerns about large holders dumping tokens at the expense of retail investors.

Comparisons to Bitcoin Whale Activity

XRP’s situation mirrors recent volatility seen in the Bitcoin market.

Earlier this month, a Satoshi-era whale liquidated 80,000 dormant BTC, sending BTC/USD sharply lower to around $114,500 before bouncing back.

Galaxy Digital reportedly handled that transaction, and the sudden move triggered over $500 million in liquidations across the crypto space, according to CoinGlass data.

While Bitcoin quickly recovered, the scale of such transactions highlights the ongoing risks faced by cryptocurrency investors when large holders suddenly move their assets.

Cautious Sentiment Prevails

For now, analysts are urging caution.

XRP’s potential for future growth remains intact, but the looming threat of further sell-side pressure from insiders like Larsen may dampen short-term investor enthusiasm.

Many in the XRP community are now watching Larsen’s wallet closely, wary of becoming collateral damage in a larger exit strategy.

As Maartunn emphasized, “Protect yourself.”

XRP Dips Sharply After Posting Weekly High, Triggers Major Liquidations

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XRP has experienced a steep correction just days after reaching its highest daily and weekly closing prices above $3.45.

The cryptocurrency fell by nearly 10% over the past few sessions, marking its largest daily loss since April.

On Wednesday alone, XRP plunged 10.33%, raising concerns among short-term traders and futures market participants.

This drop also had a noticeable effect on futures open interest.

According to CoinGlass, XRP futures open interest dropped from $10.94 billion to $9.10 billion—a 16.8% decrease.

This suggests that leveraged traders may be rapidly exiting positions or being liquidated, reducing speculative confidence in the short term.

Third-Largest Long Liquidation in 2025 Hits Binance

XRP’s decline appears to be driven by a combination of whale movements and long liquidation pressure.

Crypto analyst Darkfost pointed out that a wallet linked to Ripple co-founder Chris Larsen recently transferred significant amounts of XRP.

More than 50 million XRP tokens have moved, with roughly $140 million reportedly sent to exchanges.

Of these, 42 million XRP were transferred on Thursday alone, following 84 million moved the previous Friday.

This cascade of activity contributed to Binance recording the third-largest long liquidation event for XRP in 2025.

Approximately $86 million in long positions were wiped out within hours as a result.

Despite this, Cointelegraph has noted continued whale accumulation.

Currently, 2,743 wallets each hold over one million XRP, totaling 47.32 billion tokens.

This accounts for 4.4% of the circulating supply.

Whale Flows Signal Caution

The sentiment among large holders may be changing.

Data from CryptoQuant indicates that the 90-day average for whale flow has turned negative.

This is significant, as the metric flipped positive in early May—preceding XRP’s strong rally.

The current reversal may indicate that whales are reducing their holdings, potentially signaling a local price peak.

Key Levels in Focus as Market Awaits Direction

Even with recent volatility, XRP’s higher time frame structure remains bullish.

Last week’s multimonth high reconfirmed an upward trend, although the recent drop brought prices near critical support.

On the four-hour chart, the $3.00 mark stands out as psychological support.

Thursday’s decline swept liquidity near $2.95, establishing it as an immediate area of interest.

A move above $3.25 would suggest a bullish shift in market structure on lower time frames.

This would likely establish $2.95 as a local bottom.

However, sustained selling could push the price into the $2.66–$2.86 range.

The $2.64 zone, previously a strong resistance level in Q2, now serves as major support.

XRP bulls are likely to maintain control unless price closes below both $3.00 and $2.64, which would suggest a possible trend reversal and further downside risk.

Whale Transfers Over $1.2 Billion to Exchanges, Pushing Crypto Prices Down

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Galaxy Digital has transferred more than 10,000 Bitcoin—worth an estimated $1.2 billion—to cryptocurrency exchanges within an eight-hour window, according to blockchain analytics firm Lookonchain.

This significant movement of funds comes shortly after the company received over 80,000 Bitcoin from a long-dormant wallet linked to a Satoshi-era whale.

The original wallet had not been accessed for 14 years, adding intrigue and speculation within the crypto community.

The reactivation of these early-era Bitcoin wallets occurred earlier this month.

The event took place during a period of heightened market activity, coinciding with Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs of over $122,000.

Bitcoin Price Drops Amid Sudden Supply Activity

Following these large-scale transfers, the price of Bitcoin showed signs of weakening.

Data from CoinGecko revealed that Bitcoin dropped from highs above $119,000 to trade below $116,000 late Thursday.

As of the latest update, the world’s largest cryptocurrency is trading around $115,800.

This marks a 2% drop over the past 24 hours, highlighting the market’s sensitivity to sudden increases in potential sell pressure.

Galaxy Digital’s Strategy Under Scrutiny

The decision by Galaxy Digital to move such a large volume of Bitcoin to exchanges has sparked speculation about the firm’s intentions.

While on-chain transfers to exchanges are often interpreted as preparation for selling, Galaxy Digital has not issued a public statement explaining the motivation behind the move.

The firm, led by Michael Novogratz, is known for its significant crypto holdings and has remained a key player in institutional Bitcoin investing.

This recent transfer could suggest portfolio rebalancing or strategic profit-taking amid the latest price surge.

Historic Coins Reenter Circulation

The reactivated coins were originally mined or acquired in Bitcoin’s earliest years, widely considered the “Satoshi era.”

Funds from such addresses are rarely moved, making their reappearance a noteworthy event in the crypto space.

Given their age, these coins are often considered “clean” or highly valuable due to their origin before regulatory scrutiny and widespread usage.

Their movement tends to draw market attention and can create ripple effects across investor sentiment and market dynamics.

Market Remains Volatile Amid Uncertainty

The recent market action underscores the continued volatility in the crypto sector, particularly as historical Bitcoin resurfaces and large-scale institutional moves take place.

While Bitcoin’s current dip appears minor in percentage terms, it follows a sharp ascent to record highs, making any sign of increased selling pressure closely watched.

Traders and analysts will now monitor whether Galaxy Digital’s recent transfer is followed by further sell-offs or price stabilization in the days ahead.

BlackRock’s Ether ETF Joins Elite Ranks as One of Fastest-Growing Funds

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BlackRock’s iShares Ethereum ETF (ETHA) has rapidly become one of the world’s fastest-growing exchange-traded funds, hitting the $10 billion mark in assets under management (AUM) in just 251 days.

Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas shared the news on Thursday, describing ETHA’s meteoric rise as the “equivalent of a God candle,” referring to the speed and magnitude of the inflow.

ETHA now sits among the top three fastest-growing ETFs ever, a distinction it shares exclusively with other spot cryptocurrency funds.

Crypto ETFs Dominate Speed Rankings

The achievement puts ETHA ahead of many traditional ETFs, including JPMorgan’s Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPQ), which needed 444 days to reach $10 billion.

Balchunas’ data shows that ETHA’s success underscores the growing appetite for crypto-backed financial products.

The Ethereum-based ETF now trails only BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) and Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) in the race to $10 billion in AUM.

These three are the only ETFs to reach that benchmark faster than any other in history.

Industry Leaders Applaud Rapid Growth

Nate Geraci, president of NovaDius Wealth Management, pointed out the broader implications of this milestone.

“We’re talking about an ETF industry that’s been around for over 3 decades and has nearly 4,400 products,” Geraci commented on X.

He noted that the top three fastest-growing ETFs are now all crypto-focused, something previously unimaginable in traditional finance circles.

Bitcoin ETFs Still in the Lead

Despite ETHA’s impressive pace, it still lags behind BlackRock’s IBIT, which reached the $10 billion mark in just 34 days following its launch in January 2024.

Fidelity’s FBTC was close behind, hitting the same milestone in just 54 days.

These two products set a blistering pace for ETHA to follow, highlighting the enormous interest in crypto ETFs since regulators opened the door to spot crypto-based funds.

Ether Inflows Surge as Bitcoin ETFs Cool Off

Investor sentiment appears to be shifting toward Ether in recent weeks.

According to SoSoValue, U.S.-listed Ether ETFs have recorded a 14-day inflow streak totaling $4.4 billion since July 3.

This surge includes a massive $726.7 million daily inflow, the largest single-day amount since the ETF’s launch last year.

Conversely, Bitcoin ETFs have shown signs of weakness.

After enjoying a 12-day inflow streak, they turned negative on July 21.

Over the next three trading days, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw outflows of $289 million, based on SoSoValue’s data.

BlackRock Cementing Its Position in Crypto ETFs

BlackRock’s dominance in the ETF landscape, both in traditional and digital assets, continues to grow.

The firm’s success with both ETHA and IBIT reflects rising investor interest in regulated crypto exposure through mainstream investment vehicles.

ETHA’s historic climb reaffirms the significance of Ethereum’s place in institutional portfolios and positions the fund as a long-term staple for those betting on the future of blockchain technologies.

Ether Holds Firm as Analysts See Continued Outperformance Over Bitcoin

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Ethereum’s native token, Ether (ETH), remains in a strong uptrend despite a recent 9% pullback from its seven-month peak.

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that ETH has bounced back to reclaim the $3,600 level after a brief dip to $3,500 during early Asian trading hours on Thursday.

This rebound has sparked optimism among market analysts and on-chain data providers, who believe Ether’s long-term bullish momentum is intact.

Lower Selling Pressure Signals Strength

One key factor supporting Ether’s continued strength is the ETH/BTC exchange inflows ratio.

According to CryptoQuant’s latest Weekly Crypto Report, this ratio remains low compared to Bitcoin, indicating that ETH is facing relatively less selling pressure.

“Lower ETH/BTC exchange inflow ratio indicates lower selling pressure for ETH,” CryptoQuant noted.

“This continues to be a bullish signal for ETH relative to Bitcoin, potentially supporting further upside in the ETH/BTC pair.”

The ratio had previously hit a five-year low in May, highlighting the reduced amount of ETH being sent to exchanges compared to BTC.

Although it has since edged higher, it remains well below the red zone that typically signals increased selling activity.

Investors Increasing Exposure to Ether

Another supportive metric is the ETH/BTC ETF Holding Ratio, which has surged from 0.02 in May to 0.12 currently.

CryptoQuant interprets this as a sign that investors are increasingly allocating more funds to ETH relative to Bitcoin.

This shift in investment patterns indicates “increasing demand for ETH at the margin,” potentially reinforcing Ether’s price resilience and long-term outperformance.

Spot Ethereum ETFs Attract Strong Inflows

Spot Ethereum ETFs also showed robust performance recently.

On Wednesday, the funds posted their seventh-best day for inflows since launching, pulling in $332.2 million in a single day.

In stark contrast, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw outflows totaling $285.2 million over a three-day period.

In total, Ethereum spot ETFs have accumulated nearly $8.7 million in net inflows and now manage over $16.6 billion in assets.

This consistent inflow demonstrates rising investor confidence in ETH and its future potential.

Key ETH Price Levels to Watch

On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has outlined important Ether price levels based on its cost basis model, which includes realized prices and market means.

To the downside, strong support sits in the $2,000–$3,000 range, with specific levels at $2,100 (realized price), $2,500 (true market mean), and $3,000 (active realized price).

“This price range would serve as an important level of support in the event that the price corrects back toward it,” Glassnode wrote.

To the upside, the primary resistance level is at $4,500, which is one standard deviation above Ether’s active realized price.

This level has historically marked significant market resistance during periods of euphoria, including the March 2024 peak and the 2020–2021 cycle.

“Breakouts above this threshold tend to coincide with heightened market euphoria and unsustainable market structure,” Glassnode added.

“As such, $4,500 can be identified as a critical level to watch on the upside, especially if Ethereum’s uptrend continues and speculative froth builds further.”

Outlook

Despite the recent dip, ETH appears well-positioned for continued growth, especially relative to Bitcoin.

Low selling pressure, rising investor exposure, strong ETF inflows, and favorable technical support levels all point to a resilient outlook for Ethereum.

If momentum persists, analysts believe ETH may test the $4,500 resistance zone in the coming weeks.

Mara Holdings to Offer $1 Billion in Convertible Notes, Eyes Bitcoin Purchases

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Mara Holdings, one of the world’s largest publicly traded crypto mining firms, is preparing to raise up to $1 billion through a convertible senior notes offering, with a portion of the proceeds earmarked for Bitcoin acquisitions.

In a statement released Wednesday, the company said $850 million in notes will be offered to institutional investors, with an option to raise an additional $150 million.

The notes are due in 2032 and will be senior unsecured obligations.

They will not bear interest and are subject to market conditions, meaning there is no certainty the offering will be completed or finalized as proposed.

Use of Proceeds Includes Bitcoin and Debt Repayment

Up to $50 million of the proceeds will go toward repurchasing Mara’s existing 1.00% convertible senior notes due in 2026.

The remainder will support capped call transactions, new Bitcoin acquisitions, and general corporate needs.

“We currently intend to use the net proceeds from this offering for general corporate purposes, including the acquisition of bitcoin and for working capital,” the company said in a regulatory filing.

Bitcoin Strategy Remains Core Focus

The announcement comes shortly after Mara completed a minority acquisition of Two Prime, an institutional asset adviser with $1.75 billion under management.

This deal has increased the volume of Bitcoin Two Prime manages on Mara’s behalf.

Despite rising mining difficulty, the company reported a 35% increase in BTC production in May, showing strong operational performance.

Reports from late May indicated Mara’s annualized mining revenue exceeded $752 million, a record for the firm.

Significant Bitcoin Holdings Boost Market Position

According to Bitcoin Treasuries data, Mara currently holds around 50,000 BTC, making it the second-largest corporate Bitcoin holder after Strategy, which owns 607,000 BTC.

This aggressive accumulation echoes a previous move in March when Mara announced plans to sell up to $2 billion in stock to acquire more Bitcoin.

The firm revealed it had entered agreements with institutional investors to facilitate that stock offering “from time to time,” reinforcing its long-term commitment to Bitcoin.

Bitcoin ETFs Post First Daily Outflows in Nearly Two Weeks Amid Profit-Taking

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After a strong 12-day streak of inflows, spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded net outflows totaling $131.35 million on Monday.

The retreat follows a wave of enthusiasm that had seen $6.6 billion enter the market over nearly two weeks, reflecting renewed institutional and retail appetite for the asset class.

This reversal is being interpreted by market analysts as a sign of measured profit-taking rather than fear-driven selling.

ARK Invest Sees Largest Outflows Among ETF Issuers

The bulk of Monday’s outflows came from ARK Invest’s ARKB fund, which registered a $77.46 million pullback.

Grayscale’s GBTC was next in line, recording $36.75 million in outflows.

Fidelity’s FBTC also saw notable exits, shedding $12.75 million.

Smaller outflows came from VanEck’s HODL and Bitwise’s BITB, with $2.48 million and $1.91 million, respectively.

Interestingly, BlackRock’s IBIT, which holds the largest net assets at $86.16 billion, remained neutral, showing no inflows or outflows for the day.

Despite the single-day downturn, the cumulative net inflow figure for all spot Bitcoin ETFs remains healthy at $54.62 billion.

Total net assets across the group now stand at $151.6 billion, which represents 6.52% of Bitcoin’s overall market capitalization.

Market Rebalance Seen as Key Driver Behind ETF Exits

Kronos Research’s chief investment officer, Vincent Liu, explained that the timing of the outflows lines up with strategic rebalancing.

“The recent ETF outflows reflect profit-taking near the highs and measured institutional rebalancing to lock in gains,” Liu told Cointelegraph.

According to Liu, this shift is not indicative of panic selling, but rather a natural market cycle after a significant rally.

“It’s not panic but positioning — a natural pause after a strong upward run,” he added.

This cooling-off period comes after two consecutive billion-dollar inflow days earlier in July — $1.18 billion on July 10 and $1.03 billion on July 11 — marking the first time such an event has occurred in Bitcoin ETF history.

Ethereum ETFs Continue to Attract Capital

While Bitcoin ETFs saw outflows, Ether-based ETFs continued their positive momentum.

Spot Ether ETFs saw an impressive $296.59 million in net inflows on Monday, pushing their total inflows to $7.78 billion.

Ethereum products are now enjoying a 12-day streak of inflows, mirroring the earlier run seen in Bitcoin ETFs.

That streak includes a standout performance on Wednesday when Ethereum ETFs pulled in $726.74 million — their highest single-day inflow since launch.

This was followed by Thursday’s $602.02 million inflow, showing a steady increase in demand for Ether-related investment vehicles.

Conclusion

While Monday’s outflows from Bitcoin ETFs may seem like a setback, analysts see them as a healthy breather rather than a sign of a broader shift in sentiment.

Investor interest in crypto ETFs remains strong, with Ether products stepping up as Bitcoin takes a short pause in capital inflows.

Ethereum Eyes $8,000 Surge Amid Familiar Technical Patterns

Ethereum’s native token, Ether (ETH), could be heading for a dramatic rise toward $8,000, according to market analyst Gert van Lagen.

He points to a notable similarity between ETH’s current chart pattern and a historical trend observed in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), suggesting the cryptocurrency is now entering a critical bullish phase.

Van Lagen highlights what he describes as a “textbook expanding diagonal,” also known as a megaphone pattern, which has supported Ethereum’s major rallies since mid-2022.

This pattern helped drive a 245% increase in Ether’s value from November 2022 to February 2024.

Chart Formation Signals Possible Breakout

Currently, ETH is trading near $3,800 and sits between the megaphone pattern’s upper and lower boundaries.

Following a bounce from the lower trendline in March, van Lagen believes Ethereum is now primed for a potential move toward the upper trendline — situated around the $8,000 mark — by early 2026.

Supporting this theory is a historical comparison with the Dow Jones from 1980, which exhibited a similar expanding diagonal pattern before reaching a major peak.

Van Lagen ties this behavior to Elliott Wave theory, which breaks down market cycles into five phases.

According to his analysis, Ethereum is now in its fifth and final wave — often referred to as the blow-off top — a stage marked by high volatility and accelerated buying from late entrants into the market.

Ascending Triangle Adds Bullish Momentum

Further technical indicators back van Lagen’s bullish case.

Ether has reclaimed a multi-year ascending trendline and is now consolidating within a well-defined ascending triangle.

Currently, it is testing resistance between $3,900 and $4,150.

A breakout above this range could launch ETH toward $7,150 — an 80% increase from current levels — placing it near the upper bound of van Lagen’s projected megaphone.

Macro Tailwinds Strengthen Bullish Outlook

Felix Xu of ZX Squared Capital supports the bullish sentiment, noting that macroeconomic conditions and expected Federal Reserve rate cuts could further enhance ETH’s upside.

Additionally, inflows into Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) continue to boost investor confidence.

Xu also entertains the possibility of ETH reaching as high as $10,000 in the current market cycle.

Meanwhile, blockchain firm Consensys has its own long-term valuation model for Ethereum.

Using what it calls a “cost-to-corrupt” framework — which links ETH’s intrinsic value to the cost of attacking the network — the firm predicts a base price of $4,900 by the end of 2025, with a climb to $15,800 projected by 2028.

Institutional Interest and Regulatory Clarity

ETH’s current momentum is also supported by increased institutional activity and improving regulatory clarity around Ethereum-based stablecoins.

As demand for on-chain financial products grows, Ethereum’s use case continues to expand, positioning it favorably for long-term appreciation.

Tim Draper Says Dollar Decline Could Weaken Impact of Bitcoin Halving Cycles

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Venture capitalist Tim Draper believes macroeconomic forces are reshaping Bitcoin’s traditional market behavior, particularly its four-year halving cycle.

Draper, a founding partner at Draper Associates, argued in a recent interview that the gradual decline of the U.S. dollar could dampen the effects of Bitcoin’s halving events—long known to trigger significant price movements in the crypto market.

“Between 10-20 years from now, the dollar will be extinct,” Draper told Cointelegraph.

“The world is changing, and we are watching it happen. We are right in the center of an anthropological leap forward,” he said.

Bitcoin’s Role as a Safe Haven

Draper pointed to growing investor interest in Bitcoin as a hedge against flawed monetary policies, rising inflation, global instability, and lack of trust in traditional financial institutions.

He described Bitcoin as an “escape valve” amid these pressures, noting that its appeal continues to grow due to its fixed supply and decentralized nature.

Shifting Focus from the Halving Cycle

Bitcoin halvings, which reduce the number of new coins entering circulation, have historically triggered bull markets.

However, Draper said that while the halving still has some influence, larger macroeconomic dynamics may now be more decisive in shaping Bitcoin’s trajectory.

“The halvings may have less of an effect if Bitcoin runs against the dollar the way it has, because it will probably go for a prolonged period,” Draper said.

“It will still be affected in some way by that four-year cycle, but I think the effect will dampen. I think there will be a macro driver that pushes Bitcoin along, and I think the macro driver will be a bigger deal than the halvings.”

Debate Over Bitcoin’s Maturity

The idea that Bitcoin is evolving into a macroeconomic asset is not universally accepted.

Xapo Bank CEO Seamus Rocca recently said that the four-year cycle is still valid, suggesting that halving events remain relevant.

Others believe that Bitcoin has matured past its early speculative cycles and is now more reactive to broader economic shifts.

Global Conditions Favoring Bitcoin

Draper’s perspective aligns with other experts who expect geopolitical and economic turbulence to benefit Bitcoin and other hard-money alternatives.

In February, Bitwise analyst Jeff Park suggested that ongoing inflation, protectionism, and the weakening U.S. dollar could drive global Bitcoin adoption.

Meanwhile, the U.S. government continues to push dollar-backed stablecoins to preserve the dollar’s dominance by increasing demand through blockchain integration.

Skepticism of Stablecoins’ Longevity

Despite this strategy, not everyone sees stablecoins as a permanent solution.

Bitcoin advocate Max Keiser criticized dollar-denominated stablecoins as a temporary fix, predicting they will eventually be outpaced by gold-backed tokens and Bitcoin itself.

As macroeconomic conditions change and digital currency becomes increasingly mainstream, Draper and others see the dollar’s future as uncertain—and Bitcoin’s as more integral to global finance.

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